VPS 1-0 Gnistan: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Elisa Stadion, Vaasa
- Referee:
- Dennis Antamo
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards – Gnistan (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won69%
Gnistan: under 2.5 card points in 8 of their last 10 league matches, VPS's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 9 of 10 (65% of league matches); 1.5 card points a match, VPS's opponents collected 1.6 card points on average, league average 2.1; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%54%O2.556%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gnistan1:1VPSD
- VPS1:1GnistanD
- Gnistan0:0VPSD
- VPS0:0GnistanD
- VPS0:1GnistanL
VPS's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 1
RefereeD. Antamo−0.2 yellow cards vs average18 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 5/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
VPS : GnistanMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-18%0-17%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-17%0-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%46% | 46% |
| 1 – VPS win | 37%39% · Elo 35% | 39%· Elo 35% |
| 2 – Gnistan win | 36%34% · Elo 37% | 34%· Elo 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
VPS attack vs Gnistan defenceattack1477defence1469+8 pts to the attack
Gnistan attack vs VPS defenceattack1536defence1485+51 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%61%
8.550%48%
9.538%38%
10.527%27%
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Gnistanwe expect 4.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 72%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 28%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.578%60%
19.572%52%
20.565%44%
21.558%39%
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 12.3, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 66%
Gnistanwe expect 9.3, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 45%
Referee: 20.6 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+2.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%59%
3.545%36%
4.527%22%
5.514%10%
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Gnistanwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- VPS score only 0.7 goals per game
- Gnistan: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Gnistan: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- VPS: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Gnistan: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Championship Round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gnistan | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | VPS | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31:31 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VPS vs Gnistan?
VPS 1-0 Gnistan (half time 1-0).
Did the VPS vs Gnistan tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards – Gnistan (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.