Ligue 1Matchday 4

Lille 2-0 Troyes: prediction, tips and result

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2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille
Referee:
Romain Lissorgue

The match in numbers

1X2EloLille189765%66%Draw20%20%Troyes165615%14%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%49%O2.561%50%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Troyes1:1LilleD
  2. Lille5:1TroyesW
  3. Troyes3:0LilleL
  4. Lille2:1TroyesW
  5. Troyes1:0LilleL
Lille's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeR. Lissorgue+0.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Lille : Troyes
Most likely scores
Market1-09%2-010%1-110%2-110%0-0—3-07%Attack/defence1-012%2-011%1-111%2-110%0-07%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-09%1-012%2-02-010%2-011%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%3-03-07%3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals83%75%75%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
1 – Lille win65%60% · Elo 66%60%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals61%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals61%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes56%49%49%
Both teams to score: no44%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals39%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals39%28%28%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%40%40%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals17%25%25%
2 – Troyes win15%17% · Elo 14%17%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Lille attack vs Troyes defenceattack1519defence1410+109 pts to the attack
Troyes attack vs Lille defenceattack1417defence1605−188 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lille concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Troyes: newly promoted
  • Lille: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Troyes: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lille64119:413
17Troyes61144:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lille vs Troyes?

Lille 2-0 Troyes (half time 1-0).