Ligue 1Matchday 3
Toulouse 0-1 Lille: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
- Referee:
- Mathieu Vernice
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost61%
referee Mathieu Vernice averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost43%
referee Mathieu Vernice averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%49%O2.551%43%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Toulouse0:4LilleL
- Lille2:1ToulouseL
- Toulouse1:2LilleL
- Lille2:1ToulouseL
- Toulouse3:1LilleW
Toulouse's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.3league 3.9over 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 1
RefereeM. Vernice+1.0 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.6total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Toulouse : LilleMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—1-210%0-08%0-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-010%1-28%0-09%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-111%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-210%1-28%0-00-08%0-09%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%78% | 78% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%43% | 43% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 50%63% | 63% |
| 2 – Lille win | 49%37% · Elo 43% | 37%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 26%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Toulouse win | 24%35% · Elo 30% | 35%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Toulouse attack vs Lille defenceattack1474defence1606−132 pts to the attack
Lille attack vs Toulouse defenceattack1522defence1520+2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lille concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Toulouse: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lille: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lille?
Toulouse 0-1 Lille (half time 0-0).
Did the Toulouse vs Lille tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.