Ligue 1Matchday 4

Rennes 1-0 Marseille: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Referee:
Jeremy Stinat

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost66%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost44%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRennes188545%44%Draw25%27%Marseille183830%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%64%O2.566%62%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Marseille3:1RennesL
  2. Rennes1:0MarseilleW
  3. Marseille4:2RennesL
  4. Rennes1:2MarseilleL
  5. Rennes2:0MarseilleW
Rennes's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.6over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Stinat+0.1 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Rennes : Marseille
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-06%2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%83%83%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes67%64%64%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals66%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals56%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%58%58%
1 – Rennes win45%42% · Elo 44%42%· Elo 44%
Over 3.5 goals44%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals34%38%38%
Both teams to score: no33%36%36%
2 – Marseille win30%34% · Elo 28%34%· Elo 28%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Rennes attack vs Marseille defenceattack1581defence1524+57 pts to the attack
Marseille attack vs Rennes defenceattack1586defence1476+110 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rennes: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rennes score 2.3 goals per game
  • Rennes matches average 12.8 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Rennes: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Rennes: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Marseille: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Rennes641112:1013
13Marseille62049:86
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rennes vs Marseille?

Rennes 1-0 Marseille (half time 0-0).

Did the Rennes vs Marseille tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.