Ligue 1Matchday 4

Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Referee:
Eric Wattellier

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won55%

our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9; referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won34%

referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStrasbourg184132%35%Draw26%28%Monaco192543%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.561%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Strasbourg5:4MonacoW
  2. Monaco3:2StrasbourgL
  3. Monaco0:0StrasbourgD
  4. Strasbourg1:3MonacoL
  5. Strasbourg0:1MonacoL
Strasbourg's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.9under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeE. Wattellier−0.7 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.0
Strasbourg : Monaco
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—2-27%0-17%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%1-07%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-17%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%81%81%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes63%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals61%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals61%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%65%65%
2 – Monaco win43%35% · Elo 37%35%· Elo 37%
Under 2.5 goals39%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals39%36%36%
Both teams to score: no37%39%39%
1 – Strasbourg win32%40% · Elo 35%40%· Elo 35%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Strasbourg attack vs Monaco defenceattack1545defence1525+20 pts to the attack
Monaco attack vs Strasbourg defenceattack1574defence1479+95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Strasbourg concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Strasbourg score 2.3 goals per game
  • Strasbourg: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Strasbourg: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Strasbourg: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Monaco: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Monaco642010:514
11Strasbourg621311:127
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Strasbourg vs Monaco?

Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco (half time 0-0).

Did the Strasbourg vs Monaco tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.