2. BundesligaMatchday 7

Bochum 0-1 Bielefeld: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Referee:
Konrad Oldhafer

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Lost56%

referee Konrad Oldhafer averages 3.8 card points a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.4 card points against a league average of 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Lost38%

referee Konrad Oldhafer averages 3.8 card points a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.4 card points against a league average of 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBochum152145%52%Draw26%25%Bielefeld145429%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bielefeld1:1BochumD
  2. Bochum1:0BielefeldW
  3. Bochum2:1BielefeldW
  4. Bielefeld2:0BochumL
  5. Bielefeld2:0BochumL
Bochum's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.5under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeK. Oldhafer−1.4 yellow cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Bochum : Bielefeld
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-07%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals64%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes61%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals59%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%57%57%
1 – Bochum win45%43% · Elo 52%43%· Elo 52%
Under 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals36%32%32%
2 – Bielefeld win29%31% · Elo 23%31%· Elo 23%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Bochum attack vs Bielefeld defenceattack1470defence1499−29 pts to the attack
Bielefeld attack vs Bochum defenceattack1517defence1534−17 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.554%55%
10.542%52%
11.532%42%
12.522%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 5.4, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
Bielefeldwe expect 4.2, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 26%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 23.5 in this match, 22.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.568%58%
21.561%55%
22.555%45%
23.548%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 11.8, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Bielefeldwe expect 11.9, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Referee: 20.0 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%67%
3.544%37%
4.525%30%
5.513%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 1.5, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Bielefeldwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 53%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bielefeld: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bochum: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bielefeld: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bielefeld722311:128
12Bochum72145:77
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bochum vs Bielefeld?

Bochum 0-1 Bielefeld (half time 0-0).

Did the Bochum vs Bielefeld tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5. The tip lost.