2. BundesligaMatchday 3

Nurnberg 4-1 Bielefeld: prediction, tips and result

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4-1Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Referee:
Patrick Schwengers

The match in numbers

1X2EloNurnberg153542%48%Draw26%26%Bielefeld145432%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.559%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bielefeld1:1NurnbergD
  2. Nurnberg2:0BielefeldW
  3. Bielefeld2:2NurnbergD
  4. Nurnberg1:0BielefeldW
  5. Bielefeld1:1NurnbergD
Nurnberg's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.7under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 2
RefereeP. Schwengers−0.3 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Nurnberg : Bielefeld
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%1-07%0-1—2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-07%1-08%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals63%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals59%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%57%57%
1 – Nurnberg win42%43% · Elo 48%43%· Elo 48%
Under 2.5 goals41%43%43%
Both teams to score: no38%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals37%35%35%
2 – Bielefeld win32%32% · Elo 26%32%· Elo 26%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals18%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Nurnberg attack vs Bielefeld defenceattack1509defence1519−10 pts to the attack
Bielefeld attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1523defence1509+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nurnberg: 18 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Nurnberg: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bielefeld: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Nurnberg752020:1017
9Bielefeld722311:128
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nurnberg vs Bielefeld?

Nurnberg 4-1 Bielefeld (half time 3-0).