2. BundesligaMatchday 4

Dresden 1-2 Bochum: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden (attendance: 30,583)
Referee:
Harm Osmers

The match in numbers

1X2EloDresden143143%32%Draw27%28%Bochum152130%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.555%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dresden2:0BochumW
  2. Bochum1:2DresdenW
  3. Dresden1:2BochumL
  4. Bochum2:2DresdenD
  5. Dresden2:2BochumD
Dresden's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.7over 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 8
RefereeH. Osmers+0.4 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Dresden : Bochum
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-07%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%78%78%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals67%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes59%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%46%46%
1 – Dresden win43%42% · Elo 32%42%· Elo 32%
Both teams to score: no41%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals33%32%32%
2 – Bochum win30%33% · Elo 41%33%· Elo 41%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Dresden attack vs Bochum defenceattack1482defence1531−49 pts to the attack
Bochum attack vs Dresden defenceattack1464defence1481−17 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dresden matches average only 3.5 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Dresden: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Bochum: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Bochum72145:77
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dresden vs Bochum?

Dresden 1-2 Bochum (half time 1-2).