2. BundesligaMatchday 3

Heidenheim 5-3 Dresden: prediction, tips and result

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5-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Referee:
Felix Bickel

The match in numbers

1X2EloHeidenheim166242%66%Draw26%20%Dresden143132%14%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%58%O2.561%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dresden1:1HeidenheimD
  2. Heidenheim2:1DresdenW
  3. Heidenheim0:0DresdenD
  4. Dresden2:1HeidenheimL
  5. Heidenheim1:0DresdenW
Heidenheim's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. Bickel−1.6 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Heidenheim : Dresden
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-06%1-28%2-0—2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%2-2—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-06%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes63%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals62%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals61%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%54%54%
1 – Heidenheim win42%46% · Elo 66%46%· Elo 66%
Under 2.5 goals39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%33%33%
Both teams to score: no37%42%42%
2 – Dresden win32%29% · Elo 14%29%· Elo 14%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 20%25%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Heidenheim attack vs Dresden defenceattack1508defence1494+14 pts to the attack
Dresden attack vs Heidenheim defenceattack1480defence1498−18 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dresden matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Heidenheim: newly promoted
  • Heidenheim: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Dresden: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Heidenheim742114:1214
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Heidenheim vs Dresden?

Heidenheim 5-3 Dresden (half time 0-1).