2. BundesligaMatchday 2

Dresden 1-0 Darmstadt: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Referee:
Konrad Oldhafer

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won61%

our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7; referee Konrad Oldhafer averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7; referee Konrad Oldhafer averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDresden143148%35%Draw25%28%Darmstadt148627%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%60%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dresden3:1DarmstadtW
  2. Darmstadt2:0DresdenL
  3. Dresden0:1DarmstadtL
  4. Darmstadt1:0DresdenL
  5. Dresden2:3DarmstadtL
Dresden's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.7under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
RefereeK. Oldhafer−1.3 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Dresden : Darmstadt
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-06%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-07%2-06%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals63%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes61%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%59%59%
1 – Dresden win48%41% · Elo 35%41%· Elo 35%
Under 2.5 goals40%44%44%
Both teams to score: no39%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals37%34%34%
2 – Darmstadt win27%34% · Elo 38%34%· Elo 38%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Dresden attack vs Darmstadt defenceattack1488defence1500−12 pts to the attack
Darmstadt attack vs Dresden defenceattack1524defence1483+41 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dresden matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Darmstadt: no win in 10 matches
  • Darmstadt: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dresden: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Darmstadt: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Darmstadt72148:147
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dresden vs Darmstadt?

Dresden 1-0 Darmstadt (half time 1-0).

Did the Dresden vs Darmstadt tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.