2. BundesligaMatchday 7
Darmstadt 3-1 Cottbus: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
- Referee:
- Justin Joel Hasmann
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won70%
our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won49%
our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%62%O2.570%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.2over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Joel Hasmann−2.5 yellow cards vs average1 match
Dutching(several bets at once)69%X22:13:1coverageleague 71%covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.6total 3.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Darmstadt : CottbusMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 70%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Darmstadt win | 46%42% · Elo 43% | 42%· Elo 43% |
| 2 – Cottbus win | 31%34% · Elo 30% | 34%· Elo 30% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Darmstadt attack vs Cottbus defenceattack1494defence1493+1 pts to the attack
Cottbus attack vs Darmstadt defenceattack1527defence1476+51 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.560%54%
10.548%50%
11.537%39%
12.528%32%
Each team on its own
Darmstadtwe expect 4.6, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 31%
Cottbuswe expect 6.0, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 23.6 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.569%59%
21.562%55%
22.555%45%
23.549%39%
Each team on its own
Darmstadtwe expect 11.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Cottbuswe expect 12.6, league average 11.1 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Referee: 23.0 fouls per match on average (1 match in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%68%
3.546%38%
4.527%30%
5.514%16%
Each team on its own
Darmstadtwe expect 1.9, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Cottbuswe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Darmstadt concede 2.1 goals per game
- Darmstadt: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Cottbus: newly promoted
- Darmstadt: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cottbus: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Darmstadt vs Cottbus?
Darmstadt 3-1 Cottbus (half time 1-1).
Did the Darmstadt vs Cottbus tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.