BundesligaMatchday 4

Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Allianz Arena, Munich
Referee:
Benjamin Brand

The match in numbers

1X2EloBayern Munich224395%88%Draw4%8%Union Berlin17351%4%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%58%O2.589%74%|exp. goals 2.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bayern Munich4:0Union BerlinW
  2. Union Berlin2:2Bayern MunichD
  3. Union Berlin1:1Bayern MunichD
  4. Bayern Munich3:0Union BerlinW
  5. Union Berlin1:5Bayern MunichW
Bayern Munich's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 4
RefereeB. Brand−0.1 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market4.6 : 0.6total 5.2Attack/defence2.9 : 1.0total 3.9
Bayern Munich : Union Berlin
Most likely scores
Market4-010%5-09%3-09%2-0—2-1—3-1—6-07%4-16%Attack/defence4-06%5-0—3-09%2-09%2-18%3-18%6-0—4-16%
MarketAttack/defence4-04-010%4-06%5-05-09%5-0—3-03-09%3-09%2-02-0—2-09%2-12-1—2-18%3-13-1—3-18%6-06-07%6-0—4-14-16%4-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat99%91%91%
Over 1.5 goals97%90%90%
12 – no draw96%86%86%
1 – Bayern Munich win95%77% · Elo 88%77%· Elo 88%
Over 2.5 goals89%74%74%
Over 3.5 goals76%54%54%
Both teams to score: no55%42%42%
Both teams to score: yes45%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals24%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals11%26%26%
X2 – away team avoid defeat5%23%23%
X – draw4%14% · Elo 8%14%· Elo 8%
Under 1.5 goals3%10%10%
2 – Union Berlin win1%9% · Elo 4%9%· Elo 4%
Attack vs defence
Bayern Munich attack vs Union Berlin defenceattack1757defence1474+283 pts to the attack
Union Berlin attack vs Bayern Munich defenceattack1428defence1638−210 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bayern Munich score 3.2 goals per game
  • Union Berlin concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Union Berlin: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bayern Munich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bayern Munich: unbeaten in 18 matches
  • Bayern Munich: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Union Berlin: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Bayern Munich532016:411
16Union Berlin51135:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin?

Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin (half time 3-0).