BundesligaMatchday 3

Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Referee:
Harm Osmers

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Won9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDortmund204177%86%Draw14%10%Paderborn15879%5%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.571%62%|exp. goals 2.3 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Paderborn1:6DortmundW
  2. Dortmund3:3PaderbornD
  3. Dortmund3:0PaderbornW
  4. Paderborn2:2DortmundD
Dortmund's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses5.0 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeH. Osmers+0.5 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.9total 3.7Attack/defence2.3 : 0.9total 3.2
Dortmund : Paderborn
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-19%3-09%1-0—1-17%3-18%Attack/defence2-010%2-110%3-08%1-09%1-19%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-08%1-01-0—1-09%1-11-17%1-19%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat91%86%86%
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
12 – no draw86%81%81%
1 – Dortmund win77%67% · Elo 86%67%· Elo 86%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals51%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals49%60%60%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals29%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat23%33%33%
X – draw14%19% · Elo 10%19%· Elo 10%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
2 – Paderborn win9%14% · Elo 5%14%· Elo 5%
Attack vs defence
Dortmund attack vs Paderborn defenceattack1603defence1454+149 pts to the attack
Paderborn attack vs Dortmund defenceattack1389defence1603−214 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dortmund: 4 wins in a row
  • Dortmund: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Paderborn: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Dortmund541011:413
15Paderborn51133:74
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dortmund vs Paderborn?

Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn (half time 1-0).

Did the Dortmund vs Paderborn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.