BundesligaMatchday 3
Freiburg 5-0 M'gladbach: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
- Referee:
- Richard Hempel
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Freiburg2:1M'gladbachW
- M'gladbach0:0FreiburgD
- M'gladbach1:2FreiburgW
- Freiburg3:1M'gladbachW
- M'gladbach0:3FreiburgW
Freiburg's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.8under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 5
RefereeR. Hempel+0.1 cards vs average11 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.3total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Freiburg : M'gladbachMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-06%2-08%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-06%1-08%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Freiburg win | 56%48% · Elo 58% | 48%· Elo 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%35% | 35% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – M'gladbach win | 21%28% · Elo 18% | 28%· Elo 18% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Freiburg attack vs M'gladbach defenceattack1476defence1473+3 pts to the attack
M'gladbach attack vs Freiburg defenceattack1458defence1506−48 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- M'gladbach matches average 5.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Freiburg: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Freiburg: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- M'gladbach: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Freiburg vs M'gladbach?
Freiburg 5-0 M'gladbach (half time 2-0).