BundesligaMatchday 3
Hoffenheim 2-1 Stuttgart: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- SNP Arena, Sinsheim
- Referee:
- Sven Jablonski
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won55%
referee Sven Jablonski averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won35%
referee Sven Jablonski averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%70%O2.572%69%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hoffenheim3:3StuttgartD
- Stuttgart0:0HoffenheimD
- Hoffenheim1:1StuttgartD
- Stuttgart1:1HoffenheimD
- Hoffenheim0:3StuttgartL
Hoffenheim's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeS. Jablonski−1.1 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.7total 3.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.7total 3.6
Hoffenheim : StuttgartMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-27%2-27%3-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%3-15%1-05%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-19%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-16%3-15%1-01-0—1-05%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Hoffenheim win | 43%41% · Elo 31% | 41%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Stuttgart win | 33%36% · Elo 41% | 36%· Elo 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%31% | 31% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Hoffenheim attack vs Stuttgart defenceattack1541defence1508+33 pts to the attack
Stuttgart attack vs Hoffenheim defenceattack1600defence1477+123 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hoffenheim concede 2.4 goals per game
- Stuttgart concede 2.1 goals per game
- Stuttgart score 2.5 goals per game
- Hoffenheim matches average 5.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Hoffenheim: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Stuttgart: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Hoffenheim: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Stuttgart: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Hoffenheim
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?
Hoffenheim 2-1 Stuttgart (half time 1-0).
Did the Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.