BundesligaMatchday 2

Werder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Weserstadion, Bremen
Referee:
Benjamin Brand

The match in numbers

1X2EloWerder Bremen177123%23%Draw22%26%RB Leipzig191754%51%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%61%O2.568%58%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Werder Bremen1:2RB LeipzigL
  2. RB Leipzig2:0Werder BremenL
  3. Werder Bremen0:0RB LeipzigD
  4. RB Leipzig4:2Werder BremenL
  5. RB Leipzig1:1Werder BremenD
Werder Bremen's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.8over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 1
RefereeB. Brand0.0 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.1total 3.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
Werder Bremen : RB Leipzig
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-29%2-1—0-1—0-27%1-37%1-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-26%1-3—1-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-1—2-18%0-10-1—0-18%0-20-27%0-26%1-31-37%1-3—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%81%81%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals68%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes66%61%61%
2 – RB Leipzig win54%42% · Elo 51%42%· Elo 51%
Under 3.5 goals54%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals46%36%36%
1X – home team avoid defeat45%58%58%
Both teams to score: no34%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals32%42%42%
1 – Werder Bremen win23%33% · Elo 23%33%· Elo 23%
X – draw22%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Werder Bremen attack vs RB Leipzig defenceattack1438defence1553−115 pts to the attack
RB Leipzig attack vs Werder Bremen defenceattack1569defence1483+86 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • RB Leipzig matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • RB Leipzig: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Werder Bremen: 4 defeats in a row
  • Werder Bremen: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Werder Bremen score a lot late on: 8 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Werder Bremen: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • RB Leipzig: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5RB Leipzig530215:59
7Werder Bremen522110:108
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?

Werder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig (half time 1-0).