Premier DivisionMatchday 34

Bohemians vs Waterford: prediction, tips and stats

·

Our tips

Tip in 2d 9h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBohemians146563%54%Draw20%26%Waterford134118%20%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%61%O2.566%65%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Waterford3:1BohemiansL
  2. Bohemians1:1WaterfordD
  3. Waterford0:1BohemiansW
  4. Bohemians2:1WaterfordW
  5. Waterford2:1BohemiansL
Bohemians's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.4
Bohemians : Waterford
Most likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-09%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%85%85%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%82%82%
12 – no draw81%80%80%
Over 2.5 goals66%65%65%
1 – Bohemians win63%62% · Elo 54%62%· Elo 54%
Both teams to score: yes62%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals56%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals44%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%38%38%
Both teams to score: no38%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals34%35%35%
X – draw20%20% · Elo 26%20%· Elo 26%
2 – Waterford win18%18% · Elo 20%18%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals14%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Bohemians attack vs Waterford defenceattack1614defence1396+218 pts to the attack
Waterford attack vs Bohemians defenceattack1533defence1556−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.562%60%
8.549%46%
9.537%30%
10.526%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 5.3, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Waterfordwe expect 3.6, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 21.8 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.557%53%
21.550%49%
22.543%44%
23.537%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 9.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Waterfordwe expect 12.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 70%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.575%78%
2.550%49%
3.529%34%
4.514%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemianswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Waterfordwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • Bohemians7 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsat home: 3Went on 59%League 52%Model 66%Record 12
All streaks

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waterford matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Waterford: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Bohemians: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Waterford: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Bohemians33178858:4059
8Waterford327131244:5434
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bohemians vs Waterford?

Bohemians are the favourites. Chances: Bohemians win 63%, draw 20%, Waterford win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Waterford?

Expected goals: 3.4 (Bohemians 2.3, Waterford 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-1.

Will both teams score in Bohemians vs Waterford?

The chance that both teams score is 62%.

When is Bohemians vs Waterford?

The Premier Division match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).