Premier DivisionMatchday 30

Waterford 2-2 Derry City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won37%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWaterford134135%33%Draw26%30%Derry City141639%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Derry City2:4WaterfordW
  2. Waterford2:2Derry CityD
  3. Derry City4:2WaterfordL
  4. Waterford1:2Derry CityL
  5. Derry City7:2WaterfordL
Waterford's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses5.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.9
Waterford : Derry City
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-17%2-18%1-0—0-2—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%1-07%0-27%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-0—1-07%0-20-2—0-27%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals63%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%59%59%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals59%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals41%46%46%
2 – Derry City win39%41% · Elo 37%41%· Elo 37%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals37%32%32%
1 – Waterford win35%34% · Elo 33%34%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 30%26%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Waterford attack vs Derry City defenceattack1521defence1572−51 pts to the attack
Derry City attack vs Waterford defenceattack1536defence1396+140 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waterford: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Waterford: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Waterford played 3 days ago
  • Derry City played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Derry City32914945:4241
8Waterford327131244:5434
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Waterford vs Derry City?

Waterford 2-2 Derry City (half time 1-1).

Did the Waterford vs Derry City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.