Premier DivisionMatchday 29

Derry City 3-3 Shamrock Rovers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Brandywell Stadium, Derry

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

10.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.6 in the visitors', league average 10.3

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won48%

10.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.6 in the visitors', league average 10.3; under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDerry City141634%30%Draw28%30%Shamrock Rovers150538%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%48%O2.547%42%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shamrock Rovers1:1Derry CityD
  2. Derry City1:0Shamrock RoversW
  3. Shamrock Rovers1:0Derry CityL
  4. Derry City2:1Shamrock RoversW
  5. Shamrock Rovers2:0Derry CityL
Derry City's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.3under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.4
Derry City : Shamrock Rovers
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-114%1-011%0-110%0-010%2-18%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-09%0-010%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals73%68%68%
12 – no draw72%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%67%67%
Under 2.5 goals53%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes53%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals47%42%42%
Both teams to score: no47%52%52%
2 – Shamrock Rovers win38%33% · Elo 41%33%· Elo 41%
1 – Derry City win34%39% · Elo 30%39%· Elo 30%
X – draw28%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals27%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals25%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Derry City attack vs Shamrock Rovers defenceattack1531defence1622−91 pts to the attack
Shamrock Rovers attack vs Derry City defenceattack1547defence1567−20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shamrock Rovers matches average only 7.6 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Derry City: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Shamrock Rovers: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:3365
5Derry City32914945:4241
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Derry City 3-3 Shamrock Rovers (half time 3-1).

Did the Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.