Premier DivisionMatchday 34

Galway vs Shamrock Rovers: prediction, tips and stats

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Galway
1-12-33-10-11-1
1.1:1.4Pre-match
Shamrock Rovers
2-13-13-20-20-0

Our tips

Tip in 2d 9h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloGalway133422%24%Draw25%28%Shamrock Rovers150554%48%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.555%46%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shamrock Rovers3:1GalwayL
  2. Galway1:3Shamrock RoversL
  3. Shamrock Rovers2:0GalwayL
  4. Shamrock Rovers1:0GalwayL
  5. Galway0:0Shamrock RoversD
Galway's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.3under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Galway : Shamrock Rovers
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-19%1-210%0-29%1-0—0-06%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%0-28%1-09%0-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-06%0-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals79%72%72%
12 – no draw76%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals67%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes56%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals55%46%46%
2 – Shamrock Rovers win54%43% · Elo 48%43%· Elo 48%
1X – home team avoid defeat47%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals45%54%54%
Both teams to score: no44%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals33%25%25%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Galway win22%30% · Elo 24%30%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals21%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Galway attack vs Shamrock Rovers defenceattack1456defence1610−154 pts to the attack
Shamrock Rovers attack vs Galway defenceattack1540defence1449+91 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.556%60%
8.543%46%
9.531%30%
10.521%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galwaywe expect 4.6, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Shamrock Roverswe expect 3.5, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 22.9 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.564%53%
21.557%49%
22.550%44%
23.543%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galwaywe expect 11.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Shamrock Roverswe expect 11.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.579%78%
2.556%49%
3.534%34%
4.518%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Galwaywe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Shamrock Roverswe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Galway

Shamrock Rovers

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:3365
7Galway329111242:4838
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Galway vs Shamrock Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers are the favourites. Chances: Galway win 22%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers win 54%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Galway vs Shamrock Rovers?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Galway 1.1, Shamrock Rovers 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Galway vs Shamrock Rovers?

The chance that both teams score is 56%.

When is Galway vs Shamrock Rovers?

The Premier Division match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

See also