Premier DivisionMatchday 33

Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Drogheda: prediction, tips and result

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Shamrock Rovers
3-23-30-00-23-2
3-1Full time(half time 3-0)
Drogheda
1-22-12-02-30-2
Stadium:
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: Shamrock RoversWon71%

Shamrock Rovers: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won57%

    under 10.5 corners in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShamrock Rovers150571%60%Draw18%24%Drogheda131311%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%46%O2.558%46%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Drogheda0:0Shamrock RoversD
  2. Shamrock Rovers4:1DroghedaW
  3. Drogheda0:0Shamrock RoversD
  4. Shamrock Rovers2:1DroghedaW
  5. Drogheda1:2Shamrock RoversW
Shamrock Rovers's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)71%O2.52:0coverageleague 53% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.8total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 0.8total 2.5
Shamrock Rovers : Drogheda
Most likely scores
Market1-010%2-012%1-19%2-110%3-09%0-0—Attack/defence1-013%2-012%1-112%2-110%3-07%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-013%2-02-012%2-012%1-11-19%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-07%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%82%82%
12 – no draw82%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals81%71%71%
Our tip: 1 – Shamrock Rovers win71%58% · Elo 60%58%· Elo 60%
Under 3.5 goals64%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals58%46%46%
Both teams to score: no52%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes48%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals42%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals36%24%24%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals19%29%29%
X – draw18%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Drogheda win11%18% · Elo 16%18%· Elo 16%
Attack vs defence
Shamrock Rovers attack vs Drogheda defenceattack1541defence1466+75 pts to the attack
Drogheda attack vs Shamrock Rovers defenceattack1414defence1608−194 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.553%59%
8.540%44%
9.528%29%
10.519%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Droghedawe expect 3.2, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 20.7 in this match, 21.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.549%53%
21.542%49%
22.535%43%
23.529%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 10.2, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Droghedawe expect 10.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 3.3 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.584%78%
2.563%49%
3.542%33%
4.524%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 2.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Droghedawe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Drogheda matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Shamrock Rovers: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Drogheda: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Shamrock Rovers

Drogheda

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:3365
9Drogheda338101539:5434
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda?

Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Drogheda (half time 3-0).

Did the Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Shamrock Rovers. The tip won.

See also