Premier DivisionMatchday 32

Derry City 1-0 Galway: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Brandywell Stadium, Derry

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost55%

goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; Derry City: scored in each of their last 12 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDerry City141661%49%Draw22%28%Galway133417%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%52%O2.557%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Galway2:1Derry CityL
  2. Derry City1:1GalwayD
  3. Galway2:1Derry CityL
  4. Galway1:2Derry CityW
  5. Derry City1:1GalwayD
Derry City's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.7
Derry City : Galway
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-010%2-110%3-07%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%71%71%
1 – Derry City win61%56% · Elo 49%56%· Elo 49%
Over 2.5 goals57%51%51%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes55%52%52%
Both teams to score: no45%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals43%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals35%29%29%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
2 – Galway win17%20% · Elo 24%20%· Elo 24%
Attack vs defence
Derry City attack vs Galway defenceattack1533defence1438+95 pts to the attack
Galway attack vs Derry City defenceattack1463defence1570−107 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Galway concede a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Derry City: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Galway: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Derry City32914945:4241
7Galway329111242:4838
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Derry City vs Galway?

Derry City 1-0 Galway (half time 1-0).

Did the Derry City vs Galway tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.