Serie AMatchday 2

Atalanta 1-0 Bologna: prediction, tips and result

·

1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Referee:
Daniele Doveri

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won55%

our numbers: 3.5 cards against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won34%

our numbers: 3.5 cards against a league average of 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtalanta191253%48%Draw26%28%Bologna183922%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%56%O2.551%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Atalanta0:1BolognaL
  2. Bologna0:2AtalantaW
  3. Atalanta2:0BolognaW
  4. Bologna1:1AtalantaD
  5. Atalanta1:2BolognaL
Atalanta's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeD. Doveri−0.5 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Atalanta : Bologna
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-0—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-08%0-00-08%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals76%77%77%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals71%69%69%
1 – Atalanta win53%46% · Elo 48%46%· Elo 48%
Both teams to score: yes53%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals51%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals49%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%54%54%
Both teams to score: no47%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals29%31%31%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals24%23%23%
2 – Bologna win22%28% · Elo 24%28%· Elo 24%
Attack vs defence
Atalanta attack vs Bologna defenceattack1596defence1529+67 pts to the attack
Bologna attack vs Atalanta defenceattack1523defence1529−6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Atalanta matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Atalanta: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Bologna: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Atalanta63038:89
14Bologna61235:75
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atalanta vs Bologna?

Atalanta 1-0 Bologna (half time 0-0).

Did the Atalanta vs Bologna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.