J1 LeagueMatchday 3

Kashima Antlers 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Referee:
Hayato Shimizu

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost61%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost34%

under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKashima Antlers178250%63%Draw29%22%Avispa Fukuoka156721%15%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%44%O2.539%41%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kashima Antlers1:1Avispa FukuokaD
  2. Avispa Fukuoka0:1Kashima AntlersW
  3. Kashima Antlers0:0Avispa FukuokaD
  4. Avispa Fukuoka1:0Kashima AntlersL
  5. Avispa Fukuoka0:0Kashima AntlersD
Kashima Antlers's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss0.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 2
RefereeH. Shimizu+0.1 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.3
Kashima Antlers : Avispa Fukuoka
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%0-012%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-010%2-011%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%79%79%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals66%67%67%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals61%59%59%
Both teams to score: no57%56%56%
1 – Kashima Antlers win50%51% · Elo 63%51%· Elo 63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes43%44%44%
Over 2.5 goals39%41%41%
Under 1.5 goals34%33%33%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 22%27%· Elo 22%
2 – Avispa Fukuoka win21%21% · Elo 15%21%· Elo 15%
Over 3.5 goals19%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Kashima Antlers attack vs Avispa Fukuoka defenceattack1577defence1543+34 pts to the attack
Avispa Fukuoka attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1409defence1599−190 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kashima Antlers score a lot late on: 14 of 35 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Kashima Antlers: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Avispa Fukuoka: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kashima Antlers951319:1616
17Avispa Fukuoka921611:137
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashima Antlers 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka (half time 1-1).

Did the Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.