J1 LeagueMatchday 2

Kashima Antlers 2-1 Nagoya Grampus: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Referee:
Florian Exner

The match in numbers

1X2EloKashima Antlers178251%60%Draw26%23%Nagoya Grampus160723%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%52%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nagoya Grampus0:4Kashima AntlersW
  2. Kashima Antlers1:0Nagoya GrampusW
  3. Kashima Antlers0:0Nagoya GrampusD
  4. Nagoya Grampus0:3Kashima AntlersW
  5. Nagoya Grampus1:0Kashima AntlersL
Kashima Antlers's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.9league 2.6over 2.5: 54%Expected cards: 2.9 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Exner+0.8 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Kashima Antlers : Nagoya Grampus
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat77%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals76%75%75%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals72%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes53%52%52%
1 – Kashima Antlers win51%53% · Elo 60%53%· Elo 60%
Over 2.5 goals51%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no47%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals28%28%28%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals24%25%25%
2 – Nagoya Grampus win23%22% · Elo 17%22%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Kashima Antlers attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1578defence1466+112 pts to the attack
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1503defence1596−93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nagoya Grampus concede a lot late on: 14 of 33 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Kashima Antlers score a lot late on: 14 of 34 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Kashima Antlers: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Nagoya Grampus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kashima Antlers951319:1616
15Nagoya Grampus93069:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashima Antlers 2-1 Nagoya Grampus (half time 1-0).