J1 LeagueMatchday 4

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Referee:
Koichiro Fukushima

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Won59%

referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 2.3 cards a match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Won34%

referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 2.3 cards a match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShimizu S-Pulse157122%26%Draw26%27%Kashiwa Reysol170051%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.547%45%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shimizu S-Pulse0:2Kashiwa ReysolL
  2. Kashiwa Reysol1:0Shimizu S-PulseL
  3. Shimizu S-Pulse1:1Kashiwa ReysolD
  4. Kashiwa Reysol3:1Shimizu S-PulseL
  5. Shimizu S-Pulse0:1Kashiwa ReysolL
Shimizu S-Pulse's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.3league 2.6under 2.5: 59%Expected cards: 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 0
RefereeK. Fukushima−0.7 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.6total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Shimizu S-Pulse : Kashiwa Reysol
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-112%0-210%1-0—1-29%0-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-2—1-010%1-28%0-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-112%0-111%0-20-210%0-2—1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals75%77%77%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals73%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals53%55%55%
2 – Kashiwa Reysol win51%39% · Elo 47%39%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: yes50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no50%50%50%
1X – home team avoid defeat48%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals47%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals27%30%30%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals25%23%23%
1 – Shimizu S-Pulse win22%33% · Elo 26%33%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
Shimizu S-Pulse attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1435defence1524−89 pts to the attack
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Shimizu S-Pulse defenceattack1538defence1490+48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shimizu S-Pulse score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Shimizu S-Pulse: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kashiwa Reysol: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kashiwa Reysol970221:1421
10Shimizu S-Pulse94148:913
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol (half time 0-0).

Did the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip won.