Eerste DivisieMatchday 9
Den Bosch 1-1 Dordrecht: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadion de Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost71%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Offsides – Den Bosch: Over 1.5Lost61%
our numbers for Den Bosch: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.5; Den Bosch: 3.1 offsides a match, Dordrecht's opponents were caught offside 1.6 times on average, league average 1.5
- Shots on Target – Dordrecht: Over 4.5Lost59%
our numbers for Dordrecht: 5.3 shots on target against a league average of 4.6; Dordrecht: 5.3 shots on target a match, Den Bosch's opponents had 6.5 on average, league average 4.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS73%63%O2.575%62%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Dordrecht3:2Den BoschL
- Den Bosch3:3DordrechtD
- Dordrecht4:0Den BoschL
- Den Bosch2:3DordrechtL
- Den Bosch0:3DordrechtL
Den Bosch's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%O3.52:11:1coverageleague 58% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.7total 3.9Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Den Bosch : DordrechtMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-18%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-07%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 75%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55%39% | 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Den Bosch win | 48%46% · Elo 42% | 46%· Elo 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Dordrecht win | 29%31% · Elo 32% | 31%· Elo 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 27%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Den Bosch attack vs Dordrecht defenceattack1485defence1483+2 pts to the attack
Dordrecht attack vs Den Bosch defenceattack1478defence1474+4 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 10.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.573%64%
9.562%57%
10.550%41%
11.539%33%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 5.9, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 53%
Dordrechtwe expect 5.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.5 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.555%47%
23.548%45%
24.541%34%
25.535%30%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 11.7, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Dordrechtwe expect 11.8, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%59%
3.549%29%
4.530%21%
5.516%11%
Each team on its own
Den Boschwe expect 2.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Dordrechtwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dordrecht concede 2.9 goals per game
- Den Bosch concede 2.1 goals per game
- Dordrecht: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Dordrecht: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Den Bosch: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Dordrecht: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?
Den Bosch 1-1 Dordrecht (half time 0-0).
Did the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.