Eerste DivisieMatchday 8

Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
De Vijverberg, Doetinchem

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost59%

our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGraafschap131541%51%Draw23%24%Den Bosch124336%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS76%68%O2.578%69%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Graafschap1:1Den BoschD
  2. Den Bosch1:2GraafschapW
  3. Graafschap1:0Den BoschW
  4. Den Bosch2:2GraafschapD
  5. Graafschap2:0Den BoschW
Graafschap's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)71%1X1:2coverageleague 74% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 2.0total 4.1Attack/defence2.1 : 1.5total 3.5
Graafschap : Den Bosch
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-17%2-27%1-27%3-15%2-0—Attack/defence1-19%2-19%2-27%1-27%3-16%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-19%2-12-17%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-27%1-27%3-13-15%3-16%2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%87%87%
Over 2.5 goals78%69%69%
12 – no draw77%78%78%
Both teams to score: yes76%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%50%50%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals59%47%47%
1 – Graafschap win41%51% · Elo 51%51%· Elo 51%
Under 3.5 goals41%53%53%
2 – Den Bosch win36%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
Both teams to score: no24%32%32%
X – draw23%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
Under 2.5 goals22%31%31%
Under 1.5 goals8%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Graafschap attack vs Den Bosch defenceattack1544defence1464+80 pts to the attack
Den Bosch attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1493defence1464+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Graafschap concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Den Bosch concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Graafschap: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Graafschap: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Graafschap: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Den Bosch: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Den Bosch1032514:1811
16Graafschap1032513:2311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Graafschap vs Den Bosch?

Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch (half time 1-0).

Did the Graafschap vs Den Bosch tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.