Eerste DivisieMatchday 4

Graafschap 1-4 Almere City: prediction, tips and result

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1-4Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Referee:
Joey Kooij

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%

our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGraafschap131540%35%Draw23%26%Almere City142637%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%69%O2.573%69%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Graafschap2:2Almere CityD
  2. Almere City3:1GraafschapL
  3. Almere City2:0GraafschapL
  4. Graafschap3:2Almere CityW
  5. Almere City2:2GraafschapD
Graafschap's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.6under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Kooij−0.2 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.8total 3.7Attack/defence1.9 : 1.7total 3.5
Graafschap : Almere City
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%3-15%1-0—Attack/defence1-19%2-19%1-28%2-27%3-15%1-05%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-19%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-15%3-15%1-01-0—1-05%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%87%87%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals73%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes72%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals52%47%47%
Under 3.5 goals48%53%53%
1 – Graafschap win40%43% · Elo 35%43%· Elo 35%
2 – Almere City win37%35% · Elo 39%35%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: no28%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals27%31%31%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals10%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Graafschap attack vs Almere City defenceattack1572defence1537+35 pts to the attack
Almere City attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1588defence1491+97 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Almere City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Graafschap: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Almere City: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Almere City1071222:722
16Graafschap1032513:2311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Graafschap vs Almere City?

Graafschap 1-4 Almere City (half time 1-1).

Did the Graafschap vs Almere City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.