Eerste DivisieMatchday 3
VVV Venlo 2-1 Graafschap: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Covebo Stadion - De Koel, Venlo
- Referee:
- Martijn Vos
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won70%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost49%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%67%O2.570%66%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- VVV Venlo3:3GraafschapD
- Graafschap3:2VVV VenloL
- VVV Venlo3:1GraafschapW
- Graafschap3:1VVV VenloL
- Graafschap3:0VVV VenloL
VVV Venlo's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.6under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.3over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Vos+0.8 cards vs average29 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4
VVV Venlo : GraafschapMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-0—0-1—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-06%0-15%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-15%1-31-35%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%67% | 67% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 70%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Graafschap win | 39%38% · Elo 40% | 38%· Elo 40% |
| 1 – VVV Venlo win | 37%39% · Elo 34% | 39%· Elo 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
VVV Venlo attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1479defence1489−10 pts to the attack
Graafschap attack vs VVV Venlo defenceattack1578defence1469+109 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- VVV Venlo score a lot late on: 15 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- VVV Venlo: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Graafschap: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 16 | Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VVV Venlo vs Graafschap?
VVV Venlo 2-1 Graafschap (half time 2-1).
Did the VVV Venlo vs Graafschap tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.