Eerste DivisieMatchday 5
Heracles 5-0 Graafschap: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Erve Asito, Almelo
- Referee:
- Wouter Wiersma
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: HeraclesWon66%
Heracles: 4 league wins in a row; won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won74%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%68%O2.574%72%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Graafschap5:3HeraclesL
- Heracles3:2GraafschapW
- Graafschap1:2HeraclesW
- Heracles4:0GraafschapW
- Heracles2:1GraafschapW
Heracles's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeW. Wiersma+1.3 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.3total 3.9Attack/defence2.4 : 1.4total 3.8
Heracles : GraafschapMost likely scores
Market2-19%3-18%1-17%2-07%2-2—3-06%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%3-17%1-18%2-07%2-26%3-0—1-05%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%3-13-18%3-17%1-11-17%1-18%2-02-07%2-07%2-22-2—2-26%3-03-06%3-0—1-01-0—1-05%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%89% | 89% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%81% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: 1 – Heracles win | 66%60% · Elo 56% | 60%· Elo 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53%52% | 52% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 47%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 34%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%32% | 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 18%20% · Elo 23% | 20%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Graafschap win | 16%21% · Elo 21% | 21%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%11% | 11% |
Attack vs defence
Heracles attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1641defence1479+162 pts to the attack
Graafschap attack vs Heracles defenceattack1563defence1585−22 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Heracles: 4 wins in a row
- Heracles: newly promoted
- Heracles: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Graafschap: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 16 | Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heracles vs Graafschap?
Heracles 5-0 Graafschap (half time 2-0).
Did the Heracles vs Graafschap tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Heracles. The tip won.