Eerste DivisieMatchday 6

FC Emmen 1-2 Graafschap: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Referee:
Stan Teuben

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Emmen128456%40%Draw22%26%Graafschap131523%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%69%O2.572%70%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Emmen1:0GraafschapW
  2. Graafschap2:3FC EmmenW
  3. Graafschap4:0FC EmmenL
  4. FC Emmen3:0GraafschapW
  5. FC Emmen2:1GraafschapW
FC Emmen's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.6under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.3under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Teuben+0.2 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.4total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.6total 3.6
FC Emmen : Graafschap
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-2—3-17%2-27%2-06%Attack/defence1-19%2-19%1-27%3-16%2-27%2-05%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-19%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-2—1-27%3-13-17%3-16%2-22-27%2-27%2-02-06%2-05%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%87%87%
12 – no draw79%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%68%68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals72%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes69%69%69%
1 – FC Emmen win56%46% · Elo 40%46%· Elo 40%
Over 3.5 goals51%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals49%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%55%55%
Both teams to score: no31%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals28%30%30%
2 – Graafschap win23%32% · Elo 34%32%· Elo 34%
X – draw22%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals11%13%13%
Attack vs defence
FC Emmen attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1518defence1464+54 pts to the attack
Graafschap attack vs FC Emmen defenceattack1553defence1475+78 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Graafschap concede 2.4 goals per game
  • FC Emmen concede 2.3 goals per game
  • FC Emmen score 2.3 goals per game
  • FC Emmen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Graafschap: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Graafschap: 4 defeats in a row
  • FC Emmen: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Graafschap: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Emmen1061322:1819
16Graafschap1032513:2311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of FC Emmen vs Graafschap?

FC Emmen 1-2 Graafschap (half time 1-1).

Did the FC Emmen vs Graafschap tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.