Eerste DivisieMatchday 4

Jong Ajax Amsterdam 3-2 Helmond: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam
Referee:
Niels Boel

The match in numbers

1X2EloJong Ajax Amsterdam114745%39%Draw25%26%Helmond119131%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%55%O2.563%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong Ajax Amsterdam5:1HelmondW
  2. Helmond2:1Jong Ajax AmsterdamL
  3. Jong Ajax Amsterdam1:0HelmondW
  4. Helmond1:1Jong Ajax AmsterdamD
  5. Helmond3:1Jong Ajax AmsterdamL
Jong Ajax Amsterdam's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.6under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 3
RefereeN. Boel−0.2 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Jong Ajax Amsterdam : Helmond
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-0—2-19%0-1—1-27%2-27%0-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-18%1-28%2-2—0-07%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%2-02-06%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%75%75%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes65%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals63%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals59%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%60%60%
1 – Jong Ajax Amsterdam win45%40% · Elo 39%40%· Elo 39%
Over 3.5 goals41%29%29%
Under 2.5 goals37%49%49%
Both teams to score: no35%45%45%
2 – Helmond win31%34% · Elo 35%34%· Elo 35%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Jong Ajax Amsterdam attack vs Helmond defenceattack1408defence1523−115 pts to the attack
Helmond attack vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam defenceattack1383defence1428−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam concede 2.7 goals per game
  • Helmond: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Helmond matches average only 8.2 corners (league 10.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam: 4 defeats in a row
  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Helmond: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Helmond1023516:199
18Jong Ajax Amsterdam1022613:258
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Helmond?

Jong Ajax Amsterdam 3-2 Helmond (half time 2-1).