Eerste DivisieMatchday 10

Volendam 2-0 Vitesse: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Kras Stadion, Volendam

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloVolendam140642%50%Draw23%25%Vitesse133235%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%61%O2.570%59%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Volendam4:0VitesseW
  2. Vitesse1:2VolendamW
  3. Vitesse1:1VolendamD
  4. Volendam1:2VitesseL
  5. Volendam2:0VitesseW
Volendam's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)72%1X1:2coverageleague 75% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.7total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Volendam : Vitesse
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-0—2-27%3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-27%1-08%2-08%2-26%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-18%2-110%1-21-28%1-27%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-0—2-08%2-22-27%2-26%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%81%81%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes71%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals70%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals51%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals49%37%37%
1 – Volendam win42%50% · Elo 50%50%· Elo 50%
2 – Vitesse win35%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 2.5 goals30%41%41%
Both teams to score: no29%40%40%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals12%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Volendam attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1560defence1542+18 pts to the attack
Vitesse attack vs Volendam defenceattack1514defence1560−46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.552%57%
10.540%40%
11.529%32%
12.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Volendamwe expect 5.2, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Vitessewe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 23.1 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.552%48%
23.545%46%
24.539%35%
25.533%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Volendamwe expect 11.9, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 41%
Vitessewe expect 11.2, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%58%
3.537%30%
4.520%21%
5.59%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Volendamwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Vitessewe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Volendam: newly promoted
  • Volendam: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Vitesse: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Volendam1050522:1715
10Vitesse1042415:1514
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Volendam vs Vitesse?

Volendam 2-0 Vitesse (half time 1-0).