Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

Vitesse 2-2 NAC Breda: prediction, tips and result

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Vitesse
4-12-10-13-10-2
2-2Full time(half time 1-2)
NAC Breda
4-22-12-32-42-2
Stadium:
Gelredome, Arnhem

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon67%

goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – NAC Breda: Over 4.5Lost59%

    our numbers for NAC Breda: 5.2 shots on target against a league average of 4.6; NAC Breda: over 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 8 league matches, Vitesse's opponents had over 4.5 in 4 of 8 (40% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Vitesse: Over 1.5Won58%

    our numbers for Vitesse: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.5; Vitesse: 2.2 offsides a match, NAC Breda's opponents were caught offside 2.0 times on average, league average 1.5

  • Fouls – Vitesse: Over 11.5Won60%

    our numbers for Vitesse: 12.7 fouls against a league average of 11.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVitesse133231%35%Draw24%26%NAC Breda141345%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%62%O2.565%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Vitesse4:1NAC BredaW
  2. NAC Breda2:1VitesseL
  3. NAC Breda1:0VitesseL
  4. Vitesse4:1NAC BredaW
  5. NAC Breda0:1VitesseW
Vitesse's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.3under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)67%1X1:2coverageleague 74% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Vitesse : NAC Breda
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-0—0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%0-17%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-17%0-20-26%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%61%61%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes66%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals57%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%64%64%
2 – NAC Breda win45%36% · Elo 39%36%· Elo 39%
Over 3.5 goals43%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals35%40%40%
Both teams to score: no34%38%38%
1 – Vitesse win31%39% · Elo 35%39%· Elo 35%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Vitesse attack vs NAC Breda defenceattack1513defence1575−62 pts to the attack
NAC Breda attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1587defence1545+42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.555%57%
10.544%42%
11.533%33%
12.523%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 4.9, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
NAC Bredawe expect 5.3, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.554%46%
23.547%43%
24.540%32%
25.534%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 12.8, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 61%
NAC Bredawe expect 10.6, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%58%
3.544%28%
4.526%20%
5.513%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vitessewe expect 2.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
NAC Bredawe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • NAC Breda: newly promoted
  • Vitesse: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • NAC Breda: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Vitesse

NAC Breda

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5NAC Breda1052320:1917
10Vitesse1042415:1514
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vitesse vs NAC Breda?

Vitesse 2-2 NAC Breda (half time 1-2).

Did the Vitesse vs NAC Breda tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also