Eerste DivisieMatchday 6

NAC Breda 2-3 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Referee:
Laurens Gerrets

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

goals at both ends in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (65% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: NAC BredaLost75%

    Utrecht: winless in their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNAC Breda141375%71%Draw15%17%Utrecht117311%12%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%58%O2.571%63%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. NAC Breda3:1UtrechtW
  2. Utrecht1:1NAC BredaD
  3. Utrecht4:1NAC BredaL
  4. NAC Breda3:1UtrechtW
  5. Utrecht1:0NAC BredaL
NAC Breda's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.6under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 5
RefereeL. Gerrets−0.1 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.0total 3.7Attack/defence2.2 : 1.0total 3.2
NAC Breda : Utrecht
Most likely scores
Market2-19%2-09%1-17%3-09%1-0—3-18%Attack/defence2-110%2-010%1-19%3-07%1-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%1-11-17%1-19%3-03-09%3-07%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
1 – NAC Breda win75%63% · Elo 71%63%· Elo 71%
Over 2.5 goals71%63%63%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes58%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals50%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals50%60%60%
Both teams to score: no42%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals29%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat26%37%37%
X – draw15%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
2 – Utrecht win11%17% · Elo 12%17%· Elo 12%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
NAC Breda attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1572defence1458+114 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs NAC Breda defenceattack1412defence1581−169 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • NAC Breda: newly promoted
  • NAC Breda: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Utrecht: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5NAC Breda1052320:1917
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of NAC Breda vs Utrecht?

NAC Breda 2-3 Utrecht (half time 2-1).

Did the NAC Breda vs Utrecht tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.