Eerste DivisieMatchday 8

Jong AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar
Referee:
Andy Wolff

The match in numbers

1X2EloJong AZ Alkmaar128159%53%Draw21%24%Utrecht117320%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%64%O2.569%65%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong AZ Alkmaar1:4UtrechtL
  2. Utrecht0:0Jong AZ AlkmaarD
  3. Jong AZ Alkmaar5:1UtrechtW
  4. Utrecht0:1Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  5. Utrecht1:2Jong AZ AlkmaarW
Jong AZ Alkmaar's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Wolfffirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.3total 3.6Attack/defence2.0 : 1.4total 3.3
Jong AZ Alkmaar : Utrecht
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-07%3-17%1-0—2-26%1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-07%3-1—1-07%2-26%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-07%3-13-17%3-1—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-26%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%85%85%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%74%74%
12 – no draw79%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals69%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes66%64%64%
1 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win59%52% · Elo 53%52%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals52%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals48%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%48%48%
Both teams to score: no34%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals31%35%35%
X – draw21%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
2 – Utrecht win20%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals12%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1517defence1448+69 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1428defence1449−21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Utrecht concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Utrecht: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Utrecht: 4 defeats in a row
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar played 3 days ago
  • Utrecht played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Jong AZ Alkmaar1041522:1813
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht?

Jong AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Utrecht (half time 1-1).