Eerste DivisieMatchday 8

NAC Breda 4-2 FC Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

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NAC Breda
3-22-22-42-32-1
4-2Full time(half time 1-0)
FC Eindhoven
3-12-10-01-32-5
Stadium:
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost56%

under 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches); 9.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.4 in the visitors', league average 10.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon60%

    goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (65% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost45%

under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (40% of league matches); 9.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.4 in the visitors', league average 10.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNAC Breda141371%63%Draw16%20%FC Eindhoven121812%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%60%O2.570%64%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. NAC Breda2:2FC EindhovenD
  2. FC Eindhoven2:0NAC BredaL
  3. FC Eindhoven1:2NAC BredaW
  4. NAC Breda1:1FC EindhovenD
  5. NAC Breda0:0FC EindhovenD
NAC Breda's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.5under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)69%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 65% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.0total 3.6Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
NAC Breda : FC Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-09%3-18%3-08%1-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-09%3-17%3-07%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-19%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-08%3-07%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat87%82%82%
12 – no draw83%80%80%
1 – NAC Breda win71%61% · Elo 63%61%· Elo 63%
Over 2.5 goals70%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes60%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals51%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals49%41%41%
Both teams to score: no40%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals30%37%37%
X2 – away team avoid defeat28%39%39%
X – draw16%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
2 – FC Eindhoven win12%18% · Elo 17%18%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
NAC Breda attack vs FC Eindhoven defenceattack1576defence1463+113 pts to the attack
FC Eindhoven attack vs NAC Breda defenceattack1447defence1579−132 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • NAC Breda: newly promoted
  • NAC Breda: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • FC Eindhoven: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

NAC Breda

FC Eindhoven

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5NAC Breda1052320:1917
15FC Eindhoven1032515:2211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?

NAC Breda 4-2 FC Eindhoven (half time 1-0).

Did the NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also