Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

Almere City 1-0 Volendam: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Yanmar Stadion, Almere

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Fouls – Almere City: Under 11.5Won62%

our numbers for Almere City: 10.6 fouls against a league average of 11.8; Almere City: 9.8 fouls a match, Volendam's opponents committed 10.8 on average, league average 11.8

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Almere City: Over 5.5Won59%

    our numbers for Almere City: 6.3 shots on target against a league average of 5.4

  • Offsides: Under 3.5Lost70%

    2.9 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 2.4 in the visitors', league average 3.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlmere City142653%44%Draw22%26%Volendam140625%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%65%O2.569%64%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Almere City1:1VolendamD
  2. Volendam0:1Almere CityW
  3. Almere City2:3VolendamL
  4. Volendam3:2Almere CityL
  5. Almere City1:2VolendamL
Almere City's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.4total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.4total 3.3
Almere City : Volendam
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-27%3-17%1-2—1-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%2-27%3-1—1-27%1-07%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-06%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals69%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes68%65%65%
1 – Almere City win53%48% · Elo 44%48%· Elo 44%
Under 3.5 goals52%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals48%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%52%52%
Both teams to score: no32%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals31%36%36%
2 – Volendam win25%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
X – draw22%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Almere City attack vs Volendam defenceattack1595defence1557+38 pts to the attack
Volendam attack vs Almere City defenceattack1566defence1558+8 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.566%64%
9.554%57%
10.542%41%
11.531%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Almere Citywe expect 6.3, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 59%
Volendamwe expect 3.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.539%47%
23.533%45%
24.527%34%
25.522%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Almere Citywe expect 10.7, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 39%
Volendamwe expect 10.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 70%close to the league averageunderover 30%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.552%59%
3.530%29%
4.515%21%
5.57%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Almere Citywe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Volendamwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Almere City score 2.3 goals per game
  • Almere City matches average only 2.1 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Volendam: newly promoted
  • Almere City: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Volendam: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Almere City1071222:722
8Volendam1050522:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Almere City vs Volendam?

Almere City 1-0 Volendam (half time 1-0).

Did the Almere City vs Volendam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Almere City: Under 11.5. The tip won.