Eerste DivisieMatchday 7

Almere City 1-0 Heracles: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Referee:
Alex Bos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won64%

2.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.4 in the visitors', league average 3.3

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost69%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (67% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won42%

under 2.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (36% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlmere City142630%39%Draw23%26%Heracles145647%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%69%O2.569%68%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Almere City0:2HeraclesL
  2. Heracles0:0Almere CityD
  3. Heracles2:2Almere CityD
  4. Almere City0:5HeraclesL
  5. Heracles1:1Almere CityD
Almere City's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Bos−0.3 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 2.0total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.7total 3.5
Almere City : Heracles
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-36%1-0—3-1—Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-3—1-05%3-15%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-31-36%1-3—1-01-0—1-05%3-13-1—3-15%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%86%86%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals69%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes69%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals52%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals48%46%46%
2 – Heracles win47%36% · Elo 35%36%· Elo 35%
Under 2.5 goals31%32%32%
Both teams to score: no31%31%31%
1 – Almere City win30%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals12%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Almere City attack vs Heracles defenceattack1601defence1591+10 pts to the attack
Heracles attack vs Almere City defenceattack1654defence1556+98 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Almere City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Heracles: 6 wins in a row
  • Heracles: newly promoted
  • Almere City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Heracles: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Heracles1081131:1225
2Almere City1071222:722
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Almere City vs Heracles?

Almere City 1-0 Heracles (half time 0-0).

Did the Almere City vs Heracles tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.