Eerste DivisieMatchday 6
Heracles 3-2 Jong AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Erve Asito, Almelo
- Referee:
- Martin Perez
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won58%
over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (43% of league matches); our numbers: 4.0 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3
Other tips
- Match Result: HeraclesWon75%
Heracles: won 5 of their last 5 league matches; 5 league wins in a row
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%67%O2.577%74%|exp. goals 2.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Heracles2:0Jong AZ AlkmaarW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar1:1HeraclesD
Heracles's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeM. Perez−1.1 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 1.1total 4.0Attack/defence2.6 : 1.3total 3.9
Heracles : Jong AZ AlkmaarMost likely scores
Market2-18%3-18%2-08%1-16%3-07%2-2—Attack/defence2-19%3-18%2-07%1-17%3-06%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%3-13-18%3-18%2-02-08%2-07%1-11-16%1-17%3-03-07%3-06%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92%90% | 90% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Heracles win | 75%65% · Elo 62% | 65%· Elo 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%67% | 67% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%33% | 33% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 25%35% | 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 14%18% · Elo 20% | 18%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win | 11%17% · Elo 17% | 17%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8%10% | 10% |
Attack vs defence
Heracles attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1657defence1450+207 pts to the attack
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs Heracles defenceattack1546defence1595−49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Jong AZ Alkmaar concede 2.2 goals per game
- Heracles: 5 wins in a row
- Heracles: newly promoted
- Heracles: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Jong AZ Alkmaar: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Heracles 3-2 Jong AZ Alkmaar (half time 1-2).
Did the Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.