Eerste DivisieMatchday 5

Almere City 0-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Referee:
Clay Ruperti

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost57%

our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

Other tips

  • Match Result: Almere CityLost61%

    Almere City: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; 3 league wins in a row

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlmere City142661%70%Draw19%17%Jong Ajax Amsterdam114720%13%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%61%O2.577%68%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong Ajax Amsterdam0:2Almere CityW
  2. Almere City3:2Jong Ajax AmsterdamW
  3. Jong Ajax Amsterdam0:2Almere CityW
  4. Almere City2:3Jong Ajax AmsterdamL
  5. Jong Ajax Amsterdam1:3Almere CityW
Almere City's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 5
RefereeC. Ruperti−0.1 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.5total 4.1Attack/defence2.4 : 1.1total 3.5
Almere City : Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Most likely scores
Market2-19%2-06%1-17%3-17%1-0—3-0—2-26%Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-18%3-18%1-07%3-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-06%2-09%1-11-17%1-18%3-13-17%3-18%1-01-0—1-07%3-03-0—3-07%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%86%86%
12 – no draw81%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%84%84%
Over 2.5 goals77%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes71%61%61%
1 – Almere City win61%65% · Elo 70%65%· Elo 70%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals57%46%46%
Under 3.5 goals43%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%35%35%
Both teams to score: no29%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals23%32%32%
2 – Jong Ajax Amsterdam win20%16% · Elo 13%16%· Elo 13%
X – draw19%19% · Elo 17%19%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals8%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Almere City attack vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam defenceattack1601defence1433+168 pts to the attack
Jong Ajax Amsterdam attack vs Almere City defenceattack1416defence1544−128 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam concede 2.8 goals per game
  • Almere City matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Almere City score 2.3 goals per game
  • Almere City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Almere City: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Almere City1071222:722
18Jong Ajax Amsterdam1022613:258
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Almere City vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam?

Almere City 0-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam (half time 0-0).

Did the Almere City vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.