Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

VVV Venlo 2-0 Roda JC: prediction, tips and result

·

VVV Venlo
4-02-43-13-12-3
2-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Roda JC
2-00-01-01-12-2
Stadium:
Covebo Stadion - De Koel, Venlo

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won57%

under 10.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 8 (51% of league matches); 10.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.8 in the visitors', league average 10.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost64%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Fouls – Roda JC: Over 11.5Won60%

    our numbers for Roda JC: 12.7 fouls against a league average of 11.3; Roda JC: 13.5 fouls a match, VVV Venlo's opponents committed 12.7 on average, league average 11.3

  • Offsides – VVV Venlo: Under 1.5Lost68%

    VVV Venlo: under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Roda JC's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 5 of 8 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVVV Venlo130943%38%Draw25%26%Roda JC131432%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%60%O2.563%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Roda JC2:2VVV VenloD
  2. VVV Venlo3:1Roda JCW
  3. Roda JC1:4VVV VenloW
  4. VVV Venlo1:1Roda JCD
  5. Roda JC2:1VVV VenloL
VVV Venlo's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.5under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.4under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 7
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 72% · H2H 5/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
VVV Venlo : Roda JC
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-27%0-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%80%80%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes65%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals63%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals60%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%57%57%
1 – VVV Venlo win43%43% · Elo 38%43%· Elo 38%
Over 3.5 goals40%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals37%43%43%
Both teams to score: no35%40%40%
2 – Roda JC win32%32% · Elo 35%32%· Elo 35%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%20%20%
Attack vs defence
VVV Venlo attack vs Roda JC defenceattack1514defence1561−47 pts to the attack
Roda JC attack vs VVV Venlo defenceattack1461defence1474−13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.550%56%
10.539%40%
11.528%32%
12.520%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VVV Venlowe expect 5.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Roda JCwe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 24.8 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.563%47%
23.556%45%
24.550%35%
25.543%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VVV Venlowe expect 12.2, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Roda JCwe expect 12.7, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%76%
2.556%57%
3.534%29%
4.517%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VVV Venlowe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Roda JCwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • VVV Venlo score 2.4 goals per game
  • VVV Venlo: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • VVV Venlo: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Roda JC: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

VVV Venlo

Roda JC

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3VVV Venlo1070326:1421
6Roda JC1044210:816
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of VVV Venlo vs Roda JC?

VVV Venlo 2-0 Roda JC (half time 0-0).

Did the VVV Venlo vs Roda JC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.

See also