Eerste DivisieMatchday 5

Helmond 4-2 VVV Venlo: prediction, tips and result

·

4-2Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
SolarUnie Stadion, Helmond
Referee:
Laurens Gerrets

The match in numbers

1X2EloHelmond119131%32%Draw26%26%VVV Venlo130943%42%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%57%O2.561%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Helmond2:0VVV VenloW
  2. VVV Venlo2:1HelmondL
  3. VVV Venlo4:1HelmondL
  4. Helmond3:0VVV VenloW
  5. Helmond1:1VVV VenloD
Helmond's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.6under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 4
RefereeL. Gerrets−0.2 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Helmond : VVV Venlo
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-16%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-09%0-18%2-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-16%0-18%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%77%77%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes64%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals61%53%53%
Under 3.5 goals61%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%67%67%
2 – VVV Venlo win43%33% · Elo 42%33%· Elo 42%
Under 2.5 goals39%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals39%31%31%
Both teams to score: no36%43%43%
1 – Helmond win31%41% · Elo 32%41%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Helmond attack vs VVV Venlo defenceattack1383defence1480−97 pts to the attack
VVV Venlo attack vs Helmond defenceattack1483defence1518−35 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • VVV Venlo: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • VVV Venlo score a lot late on: 15 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Helmond: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • VVV Venlo: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3VVV Venlo1070326:1421
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Helmond vs VVV Venlo?

Helmond 4-2 VVV Venlo (half time 2-0).