Eerste DivisieMatchday 7

Utrecht 1-3 VVV Venlo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Referee:
Niels Boel

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (67% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht117335%33%Draw24%26%VVV Venlo130941%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%64%O2.568%62%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Utrecht2:2VVV VenloD
  2. VVV Venlo0:1UtrechtW
  3. Utrecht0:0VVV VenloD
  4. VVV Venlo3:2UtrechtL
  5. Utrecht0:0VVV VenloD
Utrecht's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.6under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 2
RefereeN. Boel−0.2 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Utrecht : VVV Venlo
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—1-35%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%83%83%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes69%64%64%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals53%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals47%40%40%
2 – VVV Venlo win41%34% · Elo 41%34%· Elo 41%
1 – Utrecht win35%42% · Elo 33%42%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals32%38%38%
Both teams to score: no31%36%36%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs VVV Venlo defenceattack1447defence1469−22 pts to the attack
VVV Venlo attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1495defence1455+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • VVV Venlo score a lot late on: 14 of 34 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Utrecht: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • VVV Venlo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3VVV Venlo1070326:1421
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs VVV Venlo?

Utrecht 1-3 VVV Venlo (half time 1-2).

Did the Utrecht vs VVV Venlo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.