Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

Utrecht 6-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Referee:
Rick Sturm

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%

our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht117343%42%Draw23%26%Jong Ajax Amsterdam114734%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS73%60%O2.573%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong Ajax Amsterdam0:2UtrechtW
  2. Utrecht4:3Jong Ajax AmsterdamW
  3. Utrecht1:2Jong Ajax AmsterdamL
  4. Jong Ajax Amsterdam0:0UtrechtD
  5. Utrecht0:1Jong Ajax AmsterdamL
Utrecht's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 7
RefereeR. Sturm−0.3 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.8total 3.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Utrecht : Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-0—2-0—1-27%2-27%0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-2—0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-0—2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-16%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%80%80%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals73%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes73%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%53%53%
Over 3.5 goals53%35%35%
Under 3.5 goals47%65%65%
1 – Utrecht win43%47% · Elo 42%47%· Elo 42%
2 – Jong Ajax Amsterdam win34%29% · Elo 33%29%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals27%42%42%
Both teams to score: no27%40%40%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals10%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam defenceattack1423defence1441−18 pts to the attack
Jong Ajax Amsterdam attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1409defence1457−48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Utrecht played 3 days ago
  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18Jong Ajax Amsterdam1022613:258
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam?

Utrecht 6-1 Jong Ajax Amsterdam (half time 3-0).

Did the Utrecht vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.