EredivisieMatchday 5

Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Referee:
Allard Lindhout

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won71%

referee Allard Lindhout averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost49%

referee Allard Lindhout averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.7 cards against a league average of 3.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNijmegen164034%33%Draw24%29%Feyenoord180842%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%65%O2.566%64%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nijmegen1:1FeyenoordD
  2. Feyenoord2:4NijmegenW
  3. Feyenoord0:0NijmegenD
  4. Nijmegen1:1FeyenoordD
  5. Nijmegen2:3FeyenoordL
Nijmegen's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.5under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards2.7league 3.2under 3.5: 71%Expected cards: 2.7 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Lindhout−0.8 cards vs average34 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.6total 3.3
Nijmegen : Feyenoord
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—2-0—0-25%Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-06%2-06%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%0-20-25%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%84%84%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Both teams to score: yes67%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals66%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals56%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals44%42%42%
2 – Feyenoord win42%34% · Elo 37%34%· Elo 37%
1 – Nijmegen win34%43% · Elo 33%43%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals34%36%36%
Both teams to score: no33%35%35%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 29%24%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals14%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Nijmegen attack vs Feyenoord defenceattack1600defence1594+6 pts to the attack
Feyenoord attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1602defence1532+70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Feyenoord: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Nijmegen: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Feyenoord: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Feyenoord862027:720
11Nijmegen823313:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord (half time 0-0).

Did the Nijmegen vs Feyenoord tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.