EredivisieMatchday 4

Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen: prediction, tips and result

·

1-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle
Referee:
Joey Kooij

The match in numbers

1X2EloZwolle148628%27%Draw23%28%Nijmegen164049%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%62%O2.570%61%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nijmegen2:1ZwolleL
  2. Zwolle2:2NijmegenD
  3. Zwolle0:1NijmegenL
  4. Nijmegen1:0ZwolleL
  5. Nijmegen2:2ZwolleD
Zwolle's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. Kooij−0.2 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 2.1total 3.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.8total 3.1
Zwolle : Nijmegen
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-29%0-1—2-17%2-27%0-2—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-17%2-17%2-26%0-27%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-1—0-17%2-12-17%2-17%2-22-27%2-26%0-20-2—0-27%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals70%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes69%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals51%62%62%
2 – Nijmegen win49%48% · Elo 45%48%· Elo 45%
Over 3.5 goals49%38%38%
Both teams to score: no31%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals30%39%39%
1 – Zwolle win28%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Zwolle attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1405defence1533−128 pts to the attack
Nijmegen attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1593defence1434+159 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Zwolle: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nijmegen: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Nijmegen823313:149
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Zwolle vs Nijmegen?

Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen (half time 1-2).