EredivisieMatchday 3

Sparta 3-3 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result

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3-3Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Referee:
Dennis John Higler

The match in numbers

1X2EloSparta152736%32%Draw27%29%Utrecht164337%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%57%O2.556%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Utrecht0:1SpartaW
  2. Sparta2:1UtrechtW
  3. Utrecht1:1SpartaD
  4. Sparta1:4UtrechtL
  5. Utrecht3:1SpartaL
Sparta's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 62%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 0
RefereeD. John Higler−0.2 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Sparta : Utrecht
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-28%0-17%2-18%1-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%1-08%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-28%1-29%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-07%1-08%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%77%77%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals67%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes60%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals56%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals44%47%47%
Both teams to score: no40%43%43%
2 – Utrecht win37%38% · Elo 39%38%· Elo 39%
1 – Sparta win36%36% · Elo 32%36%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals33%31%31%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Sparta attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1448defence1546−98 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs Sparta defenceattack1522defence1474+48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sparta concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Sparta concede a lot late on: 14 of 33 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Sparta: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Utrecht: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Utrecht822414:258
14Sparta813413:206
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sparta vs Utrecht?

Sparta 3-3 Utrecht (half time 1-1).