EredivisieMatchday 4

Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee:
Jannick van der Laan

The match in numbers

1X2EloWillem II141423%26%Draw22%28%Heerenveen160455%46%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%61%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Heerenveen3:1Willem IIL
  2. Willem II1:2HeerenveenL
  3. Willem II0:0HeerenveenD
  4. Heerenveen2:1Willem IIL
  5. Willem II3:1HeerenveenW
Willem II's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.2under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 0
RefereeJ. van der Laan+0.7 cards vs average34 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 2.1total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Willem II : Heerenveen
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%2-1—0-16%0-27%1-37%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%0-2—1-3—1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%2-12-1—2-18%0-10-16%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—1-31-37%1-3—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw78%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%64%64%
Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes65%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals56%65%65%
2 – Heerenveen win55%39% · Elo 46%39%· Elo 46%
1X – home team avoid defeat45%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals44%35%35%
Both teams to score: no35%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
1 – Willem II win23%36% · Elo 26%36%· Elo 26%
X – draw22%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Willem II attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1392defence1478−86 pts to the attack
Heerenveen attack vs Willem II defenceattack1493defence1424+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Willem II matches average only 7.7 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Willem II: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Heerenveen: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Heerenveen823311:119
18Willem II80267:232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen (half time 0-0).